18 Aug · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1496
FormWLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1633
FormWLWLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)