18 Aug · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1285
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Gluszek
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1270
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Gluszek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.