18 Aug · 21:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1203
FormLLLWL
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1626
FormWLWLW
13%
87%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~73 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
6%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+423
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+423)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)