18 Aug · 22:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1486
FormWWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1609
FormWLLWW
37%
63%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H28-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-18)