18 Aug · 22:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1451
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kaczynski
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1542
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 34% · 2.91· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)