Marcin Kowalczyk vs Adrian Eliasz — TT Elite Series

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18 Aug · 22:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1355

3-1Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz

ELO 1302

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 55%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Adrian Eliasz — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.16

Favourite won

Set handicap

Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

2.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 52% → final 11%

Adrian Eliasz ▼

Biggest swing 74 ptsEliasz recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games