19 Aug · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1446
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1491
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H4-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)