19 Aug · 04:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1490
FormWWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1624
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)