19 Aug · 05:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1194
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Skorupa
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1501
FormLLLWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 80% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+307
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+307)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)