19 Aug · 04:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1577
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)