19 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1382
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Szoltysek
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1336
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)