19 Aug · 08:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1631
FormLWLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kosmal
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1511
FormLLLLW
63%
37%
🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (69)
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)