19 Aug · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1450
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1557
FormWLWWL
38%
62%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H22-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-5)