19 Aug · 17:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1623
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Zelezik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1469
FormWWLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+154
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)