19 Aug · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1634
FormWLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kosmal
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1524
FormLWWLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)