19 Aug · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1565
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Smolka
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1454
FormWLWWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H22-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-16)