19 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1466
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1508
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 76% (25)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+42
H2H10-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)