19 Aug · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1569
FormWLLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adamus
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1372
FormLLLWL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H25-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-11)