19 Aug · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1265
FormWLWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1508
FormLLWLL
25%
75%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+243
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+243)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)