19 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1449
FormLWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1609
FormWLWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 67% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+160
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)