19 Aug · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1573
FormWLWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1387
FormWWLLL
70%
30%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H26-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-11)