19 Aug · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1292
FormLLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1493
FormLWWLL
29%
71%
🌟Kotwica stays under total as underdog 70% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)