19 Aug · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1456
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Juzek
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1395
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)