19 Aug · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1279
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1356
FormLWLLL
42%
58%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~81 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H28-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-15)