19 Aug · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1510
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1551
FormWLLLW
45%
55%
🌟Fomin stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)