19 Aug · 23:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1611
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lewczuk
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1514
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Lewczuk stays under total as favourite 68% (44)
Fair odds · Lewczuk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)