19 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1307
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1327
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 90% (21)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.