19 Aug · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1549
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zemla
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Zemla
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)