19 Aug · 22:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1712
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Warzecha
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1661
FormWWLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H14-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)