19 Aug · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1311
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Golaszewski
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1286
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strus🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+25
H2H10-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.