19 Aug · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1562
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pytlas
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1484
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H25-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-11)