20 Aug · 00:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1313
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1317
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.