20 Aug · 01:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1384
FormWLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1556
FormWLWLL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H25-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-14)