20 Aug · 02:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1397
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1477
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)