20 Aug · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1361
FormWLWWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1678
FormWWWLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 82% · 1.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~76 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+317
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+317)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)