20 Aug · 04:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1397
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fomin
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1459
FormLLLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)