20 Aug · 05:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1552
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1674
FormLWWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H21-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-7)