20 Aug · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1372
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wrobel
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1337
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.