20 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1519
FormLWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Adamus
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1401
FormLWWWL
63%
37%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 63% (87)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)