20 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1633
FormLWWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Poliniewicz
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1529
FormWLLWW
61%
39%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H68-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-18)