20 Aug · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1477
FormWLWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Baron
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1214
FormLLLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+263
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+263)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)