20 Aug · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1438
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dabrowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1345
FormWLWLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H27-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-17)