20 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1519
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1458
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 63% (87)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)