20 Aug · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1395
FormLLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1540
FormWLLLW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H25-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-15)