20 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1476
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1493
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Rudomina covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H55-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.