Adrian Burkacki vs Mariusz Baron — TT Elite Series

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20 Aug · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki

ELO 1413

3-1Final setsBurkacki won

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1453

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 52%. The actual result was Adrian Burkacki 3-1 — the underdog won.

Adrian Burkacki — profile →Mariusz Baron — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.47

Upset

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adrian Burkacki is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Baron.

▲ Adrian Burkackipre 51% → final 99%

Mariusz Baron ▼

Biggest swing 56 ptsBurkacki recovered from 43%70 points · 4 games