20 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1498
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1537
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (69)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H56-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.