20 Aug · 13:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1439
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1471
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
⚡ Cover lean · Rudomina🌟Rudomina covers set handicap as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H22-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.