20 Aug · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1475
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1537
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Solilo stays under total as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H17-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-6)