20 Aug · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Andrzej Krezel
ELO 1368
FormLLLWW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1738
FormLWWWW
16%
84%
⚡ Cover lean · Guzik
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 71%Total ~75 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+370
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+370)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)